The Mubadala Open begins Monday, July 31, and runs through August 6. For the first time in tournament history, the Mubadala Open will be a combined ATP/WTA 500 event and will be held at Rock Creek Park Tennis Center in Washington, D.C.
Tiafoe Looking Forward to Playing at Home
The second-highest American ranked player is the No. 2 seed at this event, and DraftKings MD lists Tiafoe at +900 to win the 2023 Mubadala Citi Open.
Tiafoe has been playing confidently since reaching the 2022 US Open semifinals and is looking forward to some home cooking and plenty of support from what should be a partisan crowd.
“I love playing in Washington,”Tiafoe said. “The fans are so supportive, and it’s always a great atmosphere. I’m feeling good about my game and ready to compete.”
Tiafoe is the fan favorite in Washington, and he’s hoping his big groundstrokes from both wings and his passion for the game will lift him to his first Mubadala Citi Open title.
2023 Mubadala Citi Open Championship Odds (DraftKings)
- Taylor Fritz +650
- Sebastian Korda +900
- Frances Tiafoe +900
- Hubert Hurkacz +1000
- Felix Auger Aliassime +1000
- Grigor Dimitrov +1400
- Alexander Bublic +1400
- Christopher Eubanks +1600
- Jeffrey John Wolf +1800
- Andy Murray +1800
Tiafoe Betting Odds Analysis
Fritz is the betting favorite and is coming off a great run in Atlanta, but the real question is how much gas he will have in the tank. He has a potential third-round matchup with three-time Grand Slam winner Murray followed by a possible quarter against big serving Ugo Humbert.
Tiafoe has had a solid hard-court season and recently won his first ATP grass-court event in Stuttgart, Germany. Other strong results this season include;
- Boss Open 2023 Champion (Stuttgart)
- US Men’s Clay Court Champion April 2023
- United Cup 2023 Winner January 2023
Tiafoe has a decent draw. He opens Tuesday against the winner of the Aslan Karatsev/Qualifier with a possible third-round encounter with fellow American and No. 14 seed Ben Shelton. Tiafoe is in the same quarter as Korda with a potential semi-final encounter with either Auger-Aliassime or Dimitrov.
Over the past 52 weeks, Big Foe has amassed a 32-15 record on the hard courts. He’s made huge strides since his 2022 US Open run and has picked up a pair of titles. He’s become more confident with his big groundstrokes from both wings with an ever-improving serve, as evidenced by his fourth-most hard-court aces over the past 52 weeks.
Something else that Tiafoe has improved is his return of serve. The big-hitting Baltimore native averages a 12th-best 2.7 break points earned per set on the cement with one service break per set over the last 52 weeks.
Tiafoe is the short favorite with a decent price attached to win this event. He’s come close to winning this tournament several times but hasn’t gotten over the hump at his home club’s event. His added confidence and improving results, the partisan crowd swooning over his every move, not to mention his ATP Tour best 20-10 tiebreak record on the hard courts, give him an advantage that no one else in the draw will experience this week.
Finally, Tiafoe should expect full crowd support whenever he steps on the court, and while having the home crowd behind him is a huge edge, playing at home can also be distracting. Tiafoe will be the “host” of the event. He’ll have extra obligations like schmoozing the sponsors, not to mention promoting the Washington Tennis and Education Fund.
I suspect these added distractions, plus the additional pressure of trying to win a title at his home club, will be too much for him, and Tiafoe is not a good bet to win the 2023 Mubadala Citi Open.
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